Shortly before his election victory on November 5, an Iowa pollster made a startling prediction, which Donald Trump has angrily ordered a “fullinvestigation” into.
The MAGA leader thinks there may have been electoral fraud when a survey by Ann Selzer of Selzer & Company revealed that Kamala Harris was leading Trump by 3% in the largely red state, according to Knewz.com.
Days before the election, the Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll showed that Trump had 44% support, while Harris had 47%.
After shifting to the Republican side in the previous two election cycles, Iowa—once a Democratic bastion for Barack Obama—was not anticipated to be a competitive state in the 2024 contest.
Trump announced on his social media platform Truth Social that he will continue to look into Selzer for possible fraud, even as he easily won Iowa’s electoral and popular votes for the third consecutive election.
“A completely phony poll that created a great deal of mistrust and uncertainty at a very crucial time,” he wrote. She was fully aware of her actions.
“Despite potential election fraud by Ann Selzer and the now-discredited ‘journal’ she works for, I am grateful to the GREAT PEOPLE OF IOWA for giving me such a record-breaking vote. An probe is very necessary.
Trump said at the time that Selzer had oversampled Democrats to give the impression that Harris was winning in Iowa.
But in the end, he defeated the Democratic candidate by more than 13 points.
Since 2008, Selzer, known as “Iowa’s Polling Queen” and a decades-long Des Moines Register surveyor, has correctly predicted every presidential outcome.
After her most recent findings fell far short of expectations, she declared her retirement on Sunday, stating that she will be leaving The Register to concentrate on polling for other customers.
As I move on to other endeavors and possibilities, I informed the Register more than a year ago that I would not be renewing my 2024 contract with the most recent election poll.
Would I have preferred to reveal this following a final poll that matched the results of Election Day? Naturally. Ironically, it’s the exact opposite.
Selzer went on: “Science has a way of humbling the scientist every now and then, and polling is a science of estimation. I am therefore humbled but constantly open to learning from new discoveries.
“After Trump’s landslide victory, I told more than one news outlet that the findings from this last poll could actually energize and activate Republican voters who thought they would likely coast to victory,” she added, acknowledging that her research was completely incorrect. Perhaps that’s what took place.
Selzer claimed that the poll results generated for Mediacom and The Des Moines Register “did not match what the Iowa electorate ultimately decided in the voting booth today” in an effort to defend her approach.
During a CNN appearance, she added that the data collected remained unchanged, stating: “When former President Trump claimed that we spoke with more Democrats, that’s what our data showed.
“We did nothing to make that happen.”
“I really believe in keeping my dirty fingers off the data,” Selzer continued. Therefore, we used the same procedure when he won our final poll twice, in two election cycles.
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